Are long-form literary works flourishing or retreating? The data, and the case for optimism.
Idris Mbeki
28 Apr 2026 · 9 min read
The cultural obituary for the literary novel has been written so many times it has become its own genre. Television killed it. The internet killed it. Social media killed it. Short-form video killed it. And yet the novel persists — not merely as an artefact but as a living form with consistent readership, cultural weight, and commercial viability.
The argument that attention spans are shrinking draws on a contested body of research. What the data more reliably shows is that attention is being redistributed rather than diminished. People who watch long-form prestige television, who listen to three-hour podcasts, who read 100,000-word fanfiction serials, have not lost the capacity for sustained attention. They have become more deliberate about where they grant it.
Literary fiction sales — both unit sales and value — have grown in real terms over the past decade in the UK and US markets. The 2020s have produced multiple literary novels that achieved simultaneous critical and popular success: 'Demon Copperhead', 'Intermezzo', 'James', 'All Fours'. These are not genre crossovers or exceptions. They are confirmation that there is an audience for books that demand something from their readers.
The novel's supposed enemy — the algorithm — has in some cases become its most effective ambassador. BookTok has driven more readers to demanding literary fiction than most marketing campaigns.
The real challenge for literary fiction is not attention. It is discoverability and price. These are solvable problems. The attention was never really the issue.